First, a few data regarding the current state of affairs since the Oslo agreement in 1993 :

The “road map” for peace is a plan to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict proposed by a “quartet” of international entities: the United States, the European Union, Russia, and the United Nations. The principles of the plan, originally drafted by U.S. Foreign Service Officer Donald Bloome, were first outlined by U.S. President George W. Bush in a speech on June 24, 2002, in which he called for an independent Palestinian state living side by side with Israel in peace: “The Roadmap represents a starting point toward achieving the vision of two states, a secure State of Israel and a viable, peaceful, democratic Palestine. It is the framework for progress towards lasting peace and security in the Middle East…

The Middle East Peace process has been abandoned by the major protagonist, namely Israel.  We have witnessed a progressive right-shift in politics.

One of the emerging figures is Moshe Zalman Feiglin. In 1993, he co-founded Zo Artzeinu (“This [is] our Land/Country”) movement with Shmuel Sackett to protest the Oslo Accords. He is one of the founders of the Israeli civil disobedience movement that developed in protest against the accords. As a result of his activities, he was sentenced to six months in prison in 1997 for sedition, but the sentence was later commuted to community service.[1] In March 2008, Feiglin was banned from entering the United Kingdom by Home Secretary Jacqui Smith, on the grounds that his presence “would not be conducive to the public good”. Remarks reported to be from his interview in 1995 with Haaretz, Ada Oshpiz: Feiglin called Hitler “an unparalleled military genius. Hitler savoured good music. He would paint. This was no bunch of thugs. They merely used thugs and homosexuals. Nazism promoted Germany from a low to a fantastic physical and ideological status. The ragged, trashy youth body turned into a neat and orderly part of society and Germany received an exemplary regime, a proper justice system and public order”

The present administration includes Avignor Liebermann, another right-wing exponent.

Avigdor Liebermann is an Israeli politician and Member of the Knesset as well as the current Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs and Deputy Prime Minister of Israel. He is the founder and leader of the Yisrael Beiteinu party, whose electoral basis are the immigrants from the former Soviet Union. A polarizing figure within Israeli politics, Lieberman is quoted as saying, “I’ve always been controversial because I offer new ideas. For me to be controversial, I think this is positive.”[3] Lieberman has called to redraw the border between Israel and the West Bank so that Israel would include large Jewish settlement blocs and the Palestinian state would include large Arab-Israeli population centres. He believes that Israel’s citizens should sign a loyalty oath or lose their right to vote. Some of his priorities are the complete judaification of Palestine and the expulsion of all Palestinians from Israel, unless they resided there before 1948.

Together with with Benjamin Netanyahou, we see no liberal and cosmopolitan exponents in the present government any more. Accordingly, in the first meeting with Pres. Obama, Mr. Netanyahou refused even to mention the road-map, a recognition of a Palestinian state or a two-state solution. The reason being, that Israel has long accomplished a significant change in it’s foreign politics. Their new priorities are a total breach with the UN resolutions, with the international agreements including USA and EU.
The latest political guidelines can be found for instance at http://www.biu.ac.il/Besa/, particularly Prof. Efraim Inbar. The present Israeli administration has definitively buried the road-map in favor of an administrative division of the Palestinian territories, which should be put under a custody of Egypt for Gaza and Jordan for the West Bank.
The official justification for this attitude is the political division of the Palestinian authority between Hamas and Fatah, resulting in the absence of a single authoritative negotiating partner.
The coming strategy involves mainly a cost-reducing conflict management replacing a peace-settlement for good. For this purpose, Israel has and is simply playing for time.
We are witnessing a regressive phase, where Israel utilizes it’s military and economic power for political goals  and is pulling back from the historical agreements of the last 20 years.

On the US side, we see an administration under a heavy influence of right-wing pro-Israeli forces, headed by Rahm Emanuel.

Even if Mr. Obama was earnestly trying to achieve peace ( and I believe that he is), he cannot succeed against the US lobbies and the present Israeli government.

A solution must come from the much discredited United Nations, because they are less manipulated by Israeli lobby groups, and because they have the legal authority over this conflict. If the EU, Russia and China, along with the Arab states form a coalition, then the ailing superpower US might in the end face reality :

They are the main financial donor behind Israel, US tax payers functioning as  the useful idiots. The yearly budget amounts to 3 billion US $, and this is just the official figure, thus probably this is only the tip of the iceberg. The military help is massive, around 20 billion $ fot the next 4 years. The US are promoting US-Israeli business relations. Under such conditions, Israel not only has no incentive to search for a peace-agreement, but they are reaping a financial benefit that is linked to the Palestinian conflict. War might be the better deal than peace, for Israel. The collateral damage is left for the international community.

For these reasons, the international community must find a solution, whereby Israel does not lose financially and Palestinians including the surrounding nations finally are rewarded a stable and just settlement. Both should be allowed to save their faces. For this, the Middle East needs a kind of Marshall plan to create a common basis for peaceful social and trade relations among all nations from the Maghreb to Afghanistan. A positive scenario to create a new dynamic.

It is an illusion to believe that military interventions in Irak, Iran, Pakistan, Afghanistan can lead to stability in this region without a settlement in Palestine.

The Islamic fundamentalists are an offspring of the Palestinian guerilla, which was itself a reaction to the brutal expulsion and pogroms before 1948. The terrorist attacks against British institutions are still remembered, as are the actions of Irgun-fighters ( one of them being Benjamin Emanuel, the father of Obama’s chief of staff).

This tragic conflict will never end, unless the pro-Israeli diaspora worldwide and particularly in the US realize, that Israel might be able to arrogantly ignore even more that the 137 Resolutions already decided by the UN. They might have a financial benefit compensating their economic losses coming from the conflict. But it will be impossible to achieve a quality of live that any civilized nation is aspiring to, because they are intoxicating not only the middle east, but also their own society down to each individual’s mental substance. They cannot have peace of mind and a harmonious outlook on a common future as a civilized nation. This is the price to pay, as long as Israel will refuse to grant the Palestinians their fundamental rights as a sovereign people and nation.

The world community is paying a high price too. Instead of a potentially prosperous region, we suffer the damages of endless violent conflicts, massacres on civil populations and an islamic terrorism that is increasingly following it’s internal dynamics, unaffected by rational motifs. Counterintelligence, warfare or state terrorism will not end terrorism, but justice for all peoples in the region will, hopefully.


The military and political situation in Pakistan is deteriorating rapidly. According to latest news, the Taliban are recruiting large numbers of volunteers.

Hate preachers are openly calling for the use of nuclear weapons against their sworn enemy USA. Baitullah Mehsud, Pakistan’s top Taliban commander claims to control increasing parts of the country and that he could take over Karachi any time. This may be exaggerated. But it shows a worrisome discrepancy between the government’s reports of huge numbers of killed Taliban fighters and independent western reports. The NZHerald titles : Taliban fighters descend on Karachi. Taliban fighters seeking money, rest and refuge from US missile strikes are turning up in increasing numbers in Pakistan’s largest city and economic hub, Karachi, according to militants, police officials and an intelligence memo. The Taliban presence in this southern port city, hundreds of kilometres away from the Islamic extremists’ strongholds in the Northwest, shows how quickly their influence is spreading throughout the nuclear-armed nation.

Obama announced an intensification of operations in Pakistan and Afghanistan much too soon, thereby giving terrorists a precious lead time. We have witnessed an increase of violence even before troops had moved from Iraq into the new action fields. The Mumbai Attacks of November 29 might have been triggered by this US decision.

Could this be positive :  When Defence Secretary Robert M. Gates announced Monday that he was dismissing Gen. David McKiernan as the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan and replacing him with Lt. Gen. Stanley McChrystal, he signaled his support for an intellectual movement that in a few short years has come to dominate military thinking in Washington. Both McChrystal and his new No. 2, Lt. Gen. David Rodriguez, Gates emphasized, have a “unique skill set in counterinsurgency.” (from WaPo).

Pakistan with 173 million inhabitants, rampant poverty, sky-high corruption, a multi-ethnic mixture and a tradition of long-time war with India, frequent earthquakes etc is sliding deeper and deeper in a fatal doom loop. It’s government is under intense pressure from the US to cut the Taliban influence back. Unfortunately, we can’t rely on informations from this government. It is known, that they don’t even know the exact number and localization of their nuclear war heads themselves. Their relation with Taliban is more than ambiguous. With massive help from the US, the Pakistani government has supported and built up the Taliban for many years. Taliban has excellent contacts up to top level in the present administration. How radical and effective can the offensive of the government troops be, how will the Taliban react in this increasingly chaotic and uncontrollable situation ? The US might just prepare their own counterinsurgency strategy after a first round by the Pakistanis. This is certainly more promising than classical warfare. Still, it would be enough for one Taliban group to take control and to fire a nuclear missile, then what ?

The present situation is serious, but a look at the deeper causes points to the right strategy for solving the conflict : Islamic terrorism is essentially a religiously masked political movement against USA and Israel. Worldwide violence targets these two nations primarily, apart from allied nations. These movements are clearly a reaction to the chronic conflict in Palestine. The continuous humiliation of this population, the ongoing colonization of their territory is the primary motive for Islamic fundamentalism. Due to the nuclear shield of the US and their economic aid, Israel has no incentive to accept a negotiated solution. On the contrary, Ariel Sharon bragged publicly, that Israel is controlling the USA. This might be slightly exaggerated. But it is a fact that the pro-Israeli lobby has managed to control every US administration. Obama’s cabinet is headed by a pro-Israeli hard-liner. Because of the partisanship of the US, a peaceful settlement respecting the numerous UN resolutions calling for a creation of a Palestine state will never happen, unless the international community takes the initiative.

It is unacceptable that the limited conflict between 10 million people ( Palestine) is left rotting for 60 years because Israel simply wishes to annex Palestinian territories.

The long-standing provocation and humiliation of the Palestinians has led to a radicalization of the whole region. We have seen violent conflicts in most neighboring states. The world-community can accept a local conflict. But a generalized conflict involving the whole middle east and threatening us all with a nuclear armed strike or war, this must be stopped by all means. Israel might push the USA into a confrontation with Iran. How can we exclude that Israel will not proceed to preemptive strikes in Iran or Pakistan ?

The present middle  east strategy of the US is completely biased and controlled by Israel. When has this country been willing to engage in serious peace negotiations ? They have instead used their military arsenal in what the international community characterizes as state terrorism. This strategy will fail in the long term. The risks are unacceptable for us all. Therefore we need a coherent approach involving all superpowers and the UN. Israel and Palestine must become two independent states, colonies must be evacuated completely –  even the pope said it. More importantly, the whole middle east needs a joint aid for economic reconstruction, similar to the Marshall Plan. In this way, all nations can be integrated into a meaningful community.

Concerning Pakistan, short-term military strikes might weaken the Taliban. But is the government itself to be trusted ? This country needs to demilitarized and to be controlled by UN blue helmets. All nuclear weapons must be removed from this country that risks to become a failed state where warlords could suddenly gain access to atomic missiles.

The Taliban, is a pro-Wahhabi Sunni Islamic, predominately Pashtun fundamentalist religious and political movement that governed Afghanistan from 1996 until 2001. Since they are heavily involved in drug traffic and Iran has the largest Opium-and Heroin-dependent population worldwide, Iran has offered the USA strategic military help against the Taliban in Pakistan. Under Bush this offer was declined. Let us hope that Obama will change this counter-productive attitude.
Link drugs in Iran : http://www.unodc.org/iran/en/epidemiology.html


Link WaPo : http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/15/AR2009051502069.html

Link NZHerald : http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=10572859